Best Actor

Awards:

  • + Gotham Independent Award
  • Independent Spirit Award Nomination
  • Broadcast Film Critics Winner
  • + National Board Of Review Winner 
  • + New York Film Critics Circle Winner
  • Los Angeles Film Critics Winner
  • Boston Society of Film Critics Winner
  • Golden Globe Winner
  • + SAG Winner
  • + National Society of Film Critics Winner
  • + BAFTA Winner

Updated: 1/26/16:

As Manchester slowly but surely loses steam in the other categories, this is looking like one of the only, if not the only, wins it might pull off. There’s still a chance SAG could swing in Denzel Washington’s direction (he’s never won a Screen Actor’s Guild award, insane right?) but I’m still putting money on Casey Affleck for now.

The Oscar Five:

  1. Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea *++++++++
  2. Denzel Washington, Fences +
  3. Ryan Gosling, La La Land +
  4. Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic *
  5. Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge