Best Actress

Awards Nominations

Gotham Award Winner
Independent Spirit Award Nomination
National Board of Review Winner

New York Film Critics Circle Award Winner
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Winner
* Broadcast Film Critics Association Nominee
Golden Globe Winner
Screen Actors Guild Nomination
National Society of Film Critics Winner 

Predictions (As of 1/1): Though Sally Hawkins and Saoirse Ronan have been taking turns winning a lot of the critics prizes, I sense that there might be a second wind for Frances McDormand. Logic would point this being Ronan vs. McDormand, though we should be looking to SAG (not the Globes, where they’re separated in the Drama and Comedy categories) where both actresses won corresponding SAG nominations with their films matching in Best Ensemble. Robbie feels firmly locked in for a nomination, and though Dench usurped Streep, I feel Streep will pick up with the Academy. 

Frontrunners

  1. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird****+++
  2. Meryl Streep, The Post*+
  3. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri****+
  4. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water***++
  5. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya****

On the Bubble:

  1. Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul*
  2. Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game*
  3. Annette Bening, Film Stars Don’t Die In Liverpool*

Falling Off

  1. Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World
  2. Salma Hayek, Beatriz at Dinner*
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