Best Picture

Awards Nominations:

+ Golden Lion (Venice)
People’s Choice Winner (TIFF)
* Independent Spirit Award Nominee
National Board of Review Winner
New York Film Critics Circle Winner
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Winner
Broadcast Film Critics Association Nominee

Golden Globe Nominee
* Screen Actor’s Guild Nominee
Producer’s Guild Nominee
National Society of Film Critics Winner

* BAFTA Nominee

The Low Down:

And we’re off! With Jojo Rabbit named as our new People’s Choice Award winner, awards season has officially begun. Taki Watiti has the strength of Disney (now that they’ve officially purchased Fox Searchlight) behind him, and you better believe they’ll push hard especially after it’s picked up this coveted laurel. Last year’s winner, Greenbook (blegh), went on to ride its way to a (highly divisive) Oscar win so we better start taking this seriously. Especially given the film’s message which could help it succeed much in the same way Three Billboard‘s proximity to the 2016 election helped it. The difference? Jojo is more cuddly and easier to love, even if the reviews aren’t as unanimous (but when has that ever mattered?). 

Standing in the complete opposite corner is Todd Phillips’ Joker, which shocked everyone after winning the Golden Lion at the Venice Film Festival. Joker was always bound to be divisive, but one thing everyone seems to be in agreement on is that leading man Joaquin Phoenix could very well win his first Oscar for playing Gotham’s Clown Prince (becoming the second actor ever to do so). The Taxi Driver influences are everywhere in the trailer, so be sure to see Joker pop up in other categories as well. 

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood got out in front early, and is still making money. Not to mention early screenings have gone better than expected, and based on Tarantino’s history with the Academy (coupled with the Hollywood setting) I’m sure this will remain a major player throughout the year. 

Marriage Story was the other big winner between Venice and Toronto, and thanks to some buzzy performances from Adam Driver, Scarlett Johansson and Laura Dern, it could be Noah Baumbach’s coronation at the Oscars. Remember, the Actors are the largest voting branch. 

Everything is still up in the air, so perhaps Bong Joon-ho’s Parasite will find room? There’s also the Mr. Rodgers’ biopic A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, A24’s The Farewell and a bunch of question marks including Ford v. Ferrari, Sam Mendes’ war epic 1917Queen & Slim, Scorsese’s Netflix film The Irishman and of course Greta Gerwig’s Little Women

The Frontrunners

  1. Jojo Rabbit+
  2. Joker+
  3. Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood
  4. Marriage Story

The Contenders

  1. Parasite 
  2. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 
  3. Ford v Ferrari 
  4. Just Mercy
  5. The Farewell
  6. Hustlers
  7. Waves
  8. The Two Popes

Question Marks

  1. The Irishman
  2. Little Women 
  3. 1917
  4. Queen & Slim