Best Picture

Awards Nominations:

+ Golden Lion (Venice)
* Independent Spirit Award Nomination
National Board of Review Winner
New York Film Critics Circle Winner
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Winner
Broadcast Film Critics Association Winner

Golden Globe Winner
+ Screen Actor’s Guild Winner
Producer’s Guild Winner
National Society of Film Critics Winner

+ BAFTA Winner

The Low Down:

Gun to my head I would say Roma is our winner. Bohemian Rhapsody is too divisive to win here (but will certainly win a few other Oscars), I don’t think The Academy is ready to reward a Marvel film for Best Picture, A Star Is Born‘s star has faded considerably, as has Vice‘s. That leaves BlacKkKlansmanThe Favourite and Green Book, which I believe are the biggest spoilers in the race. Based on the technical achievements alone, I believe Roma will have enough support below the line to pull ahead, but you know the well meaning liberals in The Academy want to reward Green Book, a film they love in spite of “the haters.” The Favourite is perhaps too out there to win, though it did garner 10 nominations. BlacKkKlansman is a dark horse not to be underestimated; it’s guild performance has been very stellar and it has Spike Lee out in front, who has never won a competitive Oscar. His best shot is probably in Adapted Screenplay, but still, keep an eye on that movie. 

The Nominees

  1. Roma++++ 
  2. Green Book++ 
  3. BlacKkKlansman
  4. The Favourite+*
  5. Black Panther+
  6. Bohemian Rhapsody+
  7. A Star is Born*
  8. Vice