* Independent Spirit Award Nominee
+ National Board of Review Winner
+ New York Film Critics Circle Award Winner
+ Los Angeles Film Critics Association Winner
* Broadcast Film Critics Association Nominee
* Golden Globe Nominee
* Screen Actors Guild Nominee
+ National Society of Film Critics Winner
* BAFTA Nominee
The Low Down:
Not quite as thin as Best Actress, but still pretty thin. Laura Dern has overtaken Jennifer Lopez with some help from the New York Film Critics Circle, though Lopez is definitely in full campaign mode.
When you got past those two, we don’t have much left. Few were wondering if Margot Robbie could get nominated for a mostly silent performance as Sharon Tate in Once Upon A Time In… Hollywood (she’s good!) but after Bombshell started screening, the consensus is that now the Academy can reward her and not have to fend off complaints about screen time and dialogue (or lack thereof). Florence Pugh, who is having a breakout year after Midsommar, is getting best in show reviews for Little Women. They love newcomers, and again with a thin category there are spots for grabs.
Kathy Bates may be the one from Clint Eastwood’s Richard Jewell to snag a nomination after being away for many years. And though Scarlett Johansson looks more likely to get a lead nomination for Marriage Story, don’t count out a surprise Jojo Rabbit appearance. Will A24 be able to get the heart and soul of The Farewell, Zhao Shuzhen, in? And could Maggie Smith in Downton Abbey actually happen?
- Laura Dern, Marriage Story***+
- Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers****+
- Florence Pugh, Little Women*
- Margot Robbie, Bombshell***
- Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell*+
The Dark Horses:
- Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit*
- Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell**
- Nicole Kidman, Bombshell*