* Gotham Award Nominee
* Independent Spirit Award Nominee
* National Board of Review Nominee
* New York Film Critics Circle Award Nominee
* Los Angeles Film Critics Association Nominee
* Broadcast Film Critics Association Nominee
* Golden Globe Nominee
* Screen Actors Guild Nomination
* National Society of Film Critics Nominee
* BAFTA Nominee
The Low Down:
This category seems a little thin thus far, and mostly because we don’t know how the women of The Favourite will be campaigned. A three hander between Olivia Coleman, Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz that seems to focus on Stone’s character’s arc but featuring a towering performance as Queen Anne. Weisz does seem to be an obvious choice to campaign here, however, based on all of the possibilities floating around.
Hot off their Emmy wins, Claire Foy and Regina King seem like very viable contenders at this point, with Foy having the edge thanks to playing “the wife” to co-star Ryan Gosling’s Neil Armstrong in First Man, a favorite archetype in this category. But King is a beloved character actress who has been experiencing something of a renaissance in her career as of late thanks to her outstanding television work. When she unexpectedly scooped up her third non-consecutive Emmy a few weeks ago, you could feel the love in the room as people got on their feet to applaud her. Reports from the screening at TIFF suggested a similar enthusiasm. Could this be a career prize for the overdue actress?
Nicole Kidman has two performances this year that could land a nomination. In Boy Erased, she plays a mother grappling with the revelation that her son is gay as he attends conversion therapy. The response to the film has been muted, but we should never count Kidman out. If there’s anything we’ve learned over the years, it’s that her fellow actors really love her.
Over on the more commercial side are Elizabeth Debicki and Michelle Yeoh. Debicki has been on the verge of a breakout for years now, and it sounds like she’s struck gold in Steve McQueen’s Widows. Yeoh is a legendary actress who has come close to Oscar before (Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon) but is deserving of a nomination. Crazy Rich Asians was a bonafide hit and an instant sensation, with her performance being singled out. But will The Academy lean into these more commercial choices?
There’s still Amy Adams, looming in the background as Lynne Cheney in Adam McKay’s mysterious Vice, which was just given a Christmas Day release. After several nominations, could this be her chance at the gold? The buzz around Vox Lux is loud and divisive, but people are raving about Natalie Portman’s performance (which enters the film in its later half). If distributor NEON can run a clean campaign and voters can get past the difficult material.. don’t count Portman out. And what of the hidden Mary Queen of Scotts? Will Margot Robbie return after her acclaimed performance in I, Tonya last year?
- Claire Foy, First Man
- Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
- Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
In the hunt:
- Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased
- Elizabeth Debicki, Widows
- Michelle Yeoh, Crazy Rich Asians
- Amy Adams, Vice
- Margot Robbie, Mary Queen of Scotts
- Natalie Portman, Vox Lux