FINAL Oscar Predictions

With Oscar nominations being announced tomorrow morning, we can (almost) put a cap on this truly unpredictable awards season. The announcement will come at 8:38 am EST (5:38 PT).

So let’s just get into it then, shall we?

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Best Picture: 

  • The Big Short
  • Bridge of Spies
  • Brooklyn
  • Carol
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • The Revenant
  • Sicario
  • Spotlight
  • Straight Outta Compton

The Best Picture Lineup could be anywhere from 5-10 nominees, so some (or all) of these could make it in tomorrow morning.

Best Director: 

  • Todd Haynes, Carol
  • George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road 
  • Ridley Scott, The Martian 
  • Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant 
  • Tom McCarthy, Spotlight 

Though the DGA lineup swaped out Haynes for The Big Short’s Adam McKay, I think hope the auteur will finally land his first nomination.

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Best Actor: 

  • Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
  • Matt Damon, The Martian
  • Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs 
  • Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant 
  • Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl 

I think that it’s between Johnny Depp and Michael Fassbender for that tumultuous fifth spot, but Fassbender’s performance has won more acclaim, and Steve Jobs has more chances in other categories so I give him the edge here. (Side note: I’m praying Michael B. Jordan can unexpectedly break in here for Creed).

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Best Actress: 

  • Cate Blanchett, Carol
  • Brie Larson, Room
  • Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years 
  • Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
  • Rooney Mara, Carol 

The only sure things in this category are Blanchett, Larson and Ronan. Rampling, despite being ignored by the guilds and the Golden Globes, should land a nod here, riding a late of acclaim and publicity (hopefully). Many are predicting that Alicia Vikander’s performance in The Danish Girl lands the fifth spot, but I think Mara’s performance gets in considering Vikander has her Ex Machina performance over in Supporting Actress, and the extreme backlash over category fraud this year.

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Best Supporting Actor: 

  • Christian Bale, The Big Short 
  • Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation 
  • Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
  • Sylvester Stallone, Creed 
  • Jacob Tremblay, Room

I suppose one of the Spotlight guys could get in, but I’m going with SAG nominee Jacob Tremblay, who has been charming just about everyone in support of Room. Not to mention, it’s really quite a performance.

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Best Supporting Actress: 

  • Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight 
  • Helen Mirren, Trumbo
  • Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina 
  • Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs 
  • Julie Walters, Brooklyn 

My predicting Mara over in Actress leaves one slot open, which could go to the critics’ favorite, Kristen Stewart, or even Globe nominee Jane Fonda. I think BAFTA nominee Julie Walters has the better shot here, though this really is the most unpredictable category.

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Best Adapted Screenplay:

  • The Big Short
  • Brooklyn
  • Carol
  • The Martian
  • Steve Jobs 

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Best Original Screenplay: 

  • Ex Machina
  • The Hateful Eight
  • Inside Out
  • Spotlight 
  • Straight Outta Compton 

 

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